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El cisne negroel impacto de lo altamente improbable
Format: Paperback
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- Poor Condition - Usually this will have a specific problem such as writing inside, water damage, missing dust jacket, heavy staining, large creases or cuts. These are readable copies but not nice ones. On other websites this condition is called 'Acceptable' or 'Fair' , but we want to be more honest.
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¿Qué es un cisne negro? Para empezar, es un suceso improbable, sus consecuencias son importantes y todas las explicaciones que se puedan ofrecer a posteriori no tienen en cuenta el azar y sólo buscan encajar lo imprevisible en un modelo perfecto. El éxito de Google y You Tube, y hasta ell 11-S, son “cisnes negros”. Para Nassim Nicholas Taleb, los cisnes negros son parte integrante de nuestro mundo, desde el auge de las religiones hasta los acontecimientos de nuestra vida personal.
¿Por qué no podemos identificar este fenómeno hasta que ya ha sucedido? Según el autor, ello se debe a que los humanos nos empeñamos en investigar las cosas ya sabidas, olvidándonos de lo que desconocemos. Ello nos impide reconocer las oportunidades y nos hace demasiado vulnerables al impulso de simplificar, narrar y categorizar, olvidándonos de recompensar a quienes saben imaginar lo “imposible”.
Elegante, sorprendente, y con reflexiones de alcance universal, El cisne negro transformará nuestra manera de mirar el mundo. Taleb es un escritor ameno, ingenioso e irreverente, con un profundo conocimiento de temas tan dispares como la ciencia cognitiva, el mundo de los negocios y la teoría de la probabilidad. De hecho, El cisne negro es auténtico cisne negro en sí mismo.
Author: Nassim Nicholas Taleb (all their books in stock)
Format: Paperback
Published: 2014
Pages: 496
Publisher: Grupo Planeta (GBS)
ISBN: 9788449321894
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Condition Descriptions
Our conditions mean the following:
- New - a brand new book
- Almost New - appears new but is actually secondhand.
- Very Good - only minor imperfections such as minor scuffs to edge or cover or a price written in pencil or shop sticker.
- Standard Secondhand - Clearly been read before, but not too bad. We do not recommend these for gifting. Spines usually creased. Could also include creases or folds to cover, some writing such as in the cover or elsewhere, underlining or highlighting, but might not do. Possibly some stains or marks. Similar in general to books in any secondhand shop or charity shop.
- Poor Condition - Usually this will have a specific problem such as writing inside, water damage, missing dust jacket, heavy staining, large creases or cuts. These are readable copies but not nice ones. On other websites this condition is called 'Acceptable' or 'Fair' , but we want to be more honest.
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